Q&A
Since You Asked
| Confused about some aspect of trading?
Professional trader Don
Bright of Bright Trading (www.stocktrading.com), an equity trading
corporation, answers a few of your questions. |
Don Bright of Bright Trading |
PROFESSIONAL VS RETAIL
I have read some of your articles where you refer to
"professional" trading, and wonder what that actually means. In
addition, what is the reason for allowing your traders to use a million
dollars of your firm's capital to trade with? Isn't that awfully risky,
like too much margin? --dtcryer82
Good questions! I haven't written here about "professional" trading
in a while, so here goes. When referring to professional trading I mean
professional versus "retail" trading, not versus "amateur" trading.
Since around 1998 or so it's been a requirement that all traders have
licenses (at least a Series 7), or else they are stuck trading with a
retail brokerage. The inherent restrictions on retail traders make it
virtually impossible for most traders to make money. The main
restrictions affect a trader's use of capital and market access, which
leads into your other question.
The current strategies that are working well are very
capital-intensive, yet lower risk. These strategies include opening-only
orders based on fair value calculations and correlated-pairs trading,
which is an excellent market-neutral methodology. Our traders may use
(not abuse!) a million dollars or more when entering opening-only orders
on 50 stocks (2,000 shares to buy, 2,000 shares to sell short, for
example). This strategy is lucrative, but does require significant
capital.
Both strategies are used daily by hundreds of our traders.
DOES TECHNICAL ANALYSIS WORK? MESSAGE-BOARD DISCUSSION
Whether technical analysis works is always a subject of debate. If
you don't use technical analysis (in the traditional sense of moving
averages/trendlines and so forth), what do you use? The way I see it, if
you aren't looking at a chart to pinpoint an entry, you are randomly
guessing, using order flow, or using fundamental analysis. With
fundamental analysis, I can't see how it would be effective on an
intraday level without having to set ridiculously wide stops. How do you
know what price to get in? Then there's scalping. If you can do this,
that's great, but scalpers looking for one tick isn't what is moving the
markets; it's the big players making predictions on the future value of
the commodity, so it's wise to join them.
So we are left with people looking at charts -- technical
analysis. Have I left out any approach? I'd be interested to hear from
any intraday traders who don't use technical trades. Please let me know
of your alternative approaches. --Tommo
Yes, technical analysis is part of successful trading. I get the
"What kind of trader are you?" question often - "technical, fundamental,
scalper, momentum, pairs trading, tape reading, automated program
trading"? Most of my traders and I will answer the same way: "Yes, yes,
yes, yes, yes, yes, yes, and yes, and a few more advanced strategies as
well." Not only that:
A. No one would enter into a good technical setup with bad
momentum, bad earnings, bad news, wide spreads, poor trending -- you
get the idea.
B. Good entries and exits require all-encompassing market snapshots
-- premium/discount, spread, what are the company's peers doing,
momentum, news, sector, and so on (again, you get the
idea).
I have never seen a trader using only one aspect
of trading make any real money. If it were that simple, then there would
cease to be a marketplace at all.
WASN'T THERE A HEALTHY EDGE? MESSAGE-BOARD DISCUSSION
CONTINUES
Coming from you, Don, that really surprises me. Wasn't there still
a healthy edge in boxes and other vanilla "single-minded" strategies
when you were on the floor? What about Arthur Merrill's old "stat arb"
program in the 1980s? What about the opening-only and order enveloping
strategies you advocated? What about the predecimalization order book
programs that took advantage of free options by front-running liquidity
(as in "penny jumping")? And electronic communications network (ECN)
liquidity rebates? It is true that those programs increased market
efficiency, eventually eroding the edge. However, didn't these
strategies rely on one aspect of trading to generate substantial
profits? Flexibility is a nice trait to have as a trader, but maybe I am
just taking you way too literally here. --SEGV
Good point, but back in 1979, we had an edge by trading "boxes" and
selling conversions. By 1985, the edge for both was gone or minimized.
No one would pay what we wanted for them, so that market ceased to be
viable. Entries and exits are very different than they were a few years
ago. Program trading works, but only when proper market conditions allow
it to by having derivatives fluctuate enough to find the edge. I'm not
disputing, just adding my interpretation.
E-mail your questions for Bright to Editor@Traders.com, with the
subject line direct to "Don Bright Question."
Originally published in the June 2006 issue of Technical Analysis
of STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine.
All rights reserved. ©
Copyright 2006, Technical Analysis, Inc.
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